What is FTI?

Founded in 2006, the Future Today Institute helps leaders and their organizations prepare for complex futures. We focus exclusively on how emerging technology and science will disrupt business, transform the workforce and ignite geopolitical change. Our pioneering, data-driven forecasting methodology and tools empower leaders to make better decisions about the future, today.

We are living in an era of tremendous uncertainty. Our anxiety stems from information overload and the onslaught of new technologies. A great wave of disruption—anchored in artificial intelligence, automation, robotics, self-driving cars, genomic editing, cognitive computing, the Internet of Things, and big data—is underway. As these technologies move from the fringe to the mainstream, they promise to forever change our companies, economies and social structures.

This disruption has left many leaders feeling like they’re meandering through a haunted house, lost in the darkness, without a way to clearly see what’s around the next corner. Fearful of the next big scare, they make poor decisions, none at all, or worse—they try to turn back, hoping to recreate the world as it was decades ago.

As futurists, our job is to flip the switch, turn on the lights and illuminate the path forward. Once leaders are able to see and hear what’s up ahead—all of the trap doors, hidden rooms, masks and costumes—that haunted house is transformed into a regular old building that can be navigated without fear or concern. With the lights on, we embolden leaders to realize their own preferred futures.

 
Our methodology

Our futures forecasting methodology relies on quantitative and qualitative data, and it has six steps.

First we identify what we call “unusual suspects” at the fringe. From there, we uncover hidden patterns, connecting experimentation at the fringe to our fundamental human needs and desires. The patterns reveal to us a possible trend, one we’ll then need to investigate, interrogate, and prove. Next, we calculate the trend’s ETA and direction: Where is it heading, how quickly, and with what momentum? However, identifying a trend isn’t enough. We must then develop probable, plausible, and possible scenarios in order to create a salient strategy for our clients and partners in the present. There is one final step: pressure-testing the strategy against the trend to make sure any planned actions are the right ones.

Our work is always done in teams comprised of trained futurists as well as subject-area experts, technologists, designers, process-thinkers and creative minds. Scientific and technological advances depend on both ingenuity and rigorous evaluation. Daydreaming alone won’t bring new ideas to market; ideas require process engineering and budgeting before they can become tangible. However, too much emphasis on logic and linear thinking will kill moonshots while they’re still on the whiteboard. That’s why we carefully curate teams with a diverse set of thinkers.

In fact, the Institute’s forecasting model’s six steps require us to alternate between hyper-creative “flaring” (thinking very broadly), and focusing down to very practical, tangible implications. If you look closely, you’ll see that it’s a curvy funnelflaring and focusing as we move along from steps one to six.

Our forecasting model and methodology is explained in detail in The Signals Are Talking: Why Today’s Fringe Is Tomorrow’s Mainstream, the new book by FTI’s CEO Amy Webb. It was also featured in the Harvard Business Review and the MIT Sloan Management Review.